Below you'll find a list of all posts that have been categorized as “Insights”
Liberation Day has arrived for the United States. Unlike in most other countries where it is celebrated in reflection of the end of a past war or the dawn of a new revolution, Liberation Day in the U.S. as it has come to be known is the declaration of promised tariffs to free the country from the import of foreign goods.
“And I feel like I’ve been here before” -Deja Vu, Crosby, Stills, Nash & Young, 1970 It’s been a tough time for the U.S. stock market as of late. Over the last four weeks, the headline benchmark S&P 500 Index has fallen by just over -10% peak to trough. And the bounce that has emerged over the past five trading …
“Some things in life are bad, they can really make you mad Other things just make you swear and curse. When you’re chewing on life’s gristle, don’t grumble, give a whistle And this’ll help things turn out for the best” -Always Look on the Bright Side of Life, Monty Python, 1979 The U.S stock market has certainly been bad lately. …
Talk about tariffs continue to pound the news headlines day after day. Taxing imports on goods from other countries such as Canada, Mexico, and China have potential economic impacts that can be troubling for financial markets. These include slower economic growth and the potential for recession as well as rising prices and the threat of high inflation. Amid the turbulence, …
The so called ‘Magnificent 7’ is the latest grouping of tech and tech adjacent companies that have dominated the stock market in recent years. Its members include the following names in order of market cap: Apple, NVIDIA, Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet (ne Google), Meta Platforms (ne Facebook), and Tesla. Together they make up a staggering +32% of the entire weighting of …
It has been the primary downside risk confronting financial markets for the last few years: the persistent threat of a renewed rise in inflation. The kindling continues to be placed to reignite a new inflationary blaze. Only time will reveal how high the flames will reach if and when the next fire starts to burn. “Often is the case of …
Another storm rolled across capital markets to start this week. This time, it was the shock headlines over the weekend that the United States would be instituting tariffs against its close neighbor trade partners Canada and Mexico, which cast doubt on the sustainability of economic growth across the region as well as the potential inflationary impact of such measures. But …
A storm thundered through the U.S. stock market on Monday.
In this week’s Economic & Market Report, winter has come early this year.
Early Market Weakness in December
❄️ The U.S. stock market posted a rare December decline, marking only the fifth negative performance for the month since 2000.
❄️ Stocks faced a long-overdue pullback after a linear climb since late 2023.
❄️ U.S. Treasury yields surged over the past four months, driven by persistent inflation concerns.
Uncertainty in Market Recovery
☃️ Despite Wednesday’s strong market response, key resistance levels in equities remain unbroken, leaving recovery uncertain.
☃️ Sustained declines in Treasury yields are needed to improve equity risk premiums.
☃️ Inflation risks linger due to seasonal data noise, rebuilding efforts from Los Angeles fire damage, and elevated 5-year breakeven rates above 2.50%.
2024 Stock Market Review video with Chief Market Strategist Eric Parnell.
